Aggregate Data
Archive Statistics
2,680 verbatim alerts · 3,249 alert messages · 578 institutions · 1969–2026
Two patterns dominate this archive. First, roughly 34% of cases occur in the August–October return-to-campus window, a seasonal cluster driven by move-in incidents, opening-week events, and fall sports. Second, verbatim confirmation climbs sharply after 2018: among alerts dated 2018 and later, 84% are word-for-word confirmed as Twitter/X archive recovery and university alert-page indexing finally make exact transmitted text recoverable.
The charts below cover incident type, year, state, institution type, resolution, and Clery category. Above all, they show how much of the archive we have recovered word-for-word. This archive is about the exact wording and the sequence of the messages, not response-time analytics; counts here reflect what is documented and findable, not real-world frequency.
About these numbers
This archive is a limited, AI-assembled sample of campus emergency alerts, not a complete or randomly drawn census. Every chart below describes what has been documented here so far, which is shaped by what sources are publicly findable and what has been added to date. Please read these as patterns within this archive, not as statistically representative measures of US campuses overall, and avoid drawing population-level conclusions from them. Spot something wrong or missing? You can help correct or expand it.
Looking for more than counts? The Dataset Notes page describes the collection (message form, preserved channels, how its threat cases resolved) with each note’s method, limits, and evidence published beside it.
Tool · Message structure
Message Element Analyzer
Go beyond the counts: see which of the six warning-message elements (source, hazard, location, guidance, time, impact) each verbatim first alert actually includes.
50 states · 4 territories
avg messages in a sequence
1969–2026
Geographic Coverage
Cases Across All 55 Jurisdictions
50 U.S. states, Washington D.C., and 4 territories, every corner of American higher education.
How to read this: Tile shading shows the cases documented here per state, which tracks collection effort and findability, not per-capita risk or any state's true number of incidents.
55 states & territories documented · stronger blue = more cases · tap any tile to see its cases
| State/Territory | Cases |
|---|---|
| CA | 128 |
| TX | 93 |
| FL | 70 |
| PA | 58 |
| NY | 57 |
| VA | 55 |
| MA | 48 |
| NC | 48 |
| IL | 43 |
| MI | 41 |
| GA | 39 |
| OH | 36 |
| AZ | 28 |
| IN | 27 |
| LA | 25 |
| DC | 24 |
| CO | 23 |
| MD | 22 |
| WA | 21 |
| KY | 20 |
| MN | 19 |
| SC | 18 |
| NJ | 18 |
| OR | 17 |
| AL | 17 |
| TN | 17 |
| IA | 17 |
| MO | 16 |
| WI | 15 |
| MS | 15 |
| CT | 14 |
| UT | 12 |
| NM | 11 |
| ME | 11 |
| HI | 11 |
| OK | 11 |
| RI | 10 |
| NV | 10 |
| NE | 10 |
| AR | 9 |
| ID | 8 |
| KS | 7 |
| MT | 7 |
| DE | 6 |
| VT | 6 |
| VI | 5 |
| WV | 5 |
| SD | 4 |
| NH | 4 |
| MP | 3 |
| AK | 3 |
| PR | 3 |
| WY | 3 |
| GU | 2 |
| ND | 2 |
Incident Breakdown
What Triggers Campus Alerts
Distribution across 40+ incident types: from active shooters to weather emergencies, gas leaks, and public-health crises.
How to read this: This is the mix of incidents we happen to have documented, not how often each type actually occurs on campuses.
Type Distribution
By Incident Type
- shooting164shooting164
- bomb threat120bomb threat120
- hurricane76hurricane76
- swatting70swatting70
- armed person65armed person65
- threat of violence54threat of violence54
- civil unrest54civil unrest54
- robbery51robbery51
- police activity49police activity49
- sexual assault44sexual assault44
What to notice: shooting-adjacent reports dominate the record. The cases that rewrote alert language live in the Active Shooters chapter.
| Institution | Cases |
|---|---|
| shooting | 164 |
| bomb threat | 120 |
| hurricane | 76 |
| swatting | 70 |
| armed person | 65 |
| threat of violence | 54 |
| civil unrest | 54 |
| robbery | 51 |
| police activity | 49 |
| sexual assault | 44 |
Year Trend
Cases by Year
What to notice: coverage is densest where original alert text still survives online. Browse the most recent cases to read today's alert language, or explore the archive year by year on the timeline.
| Label | Count |
|---|---|
| 2007 | 4 |
| 2008 | 1 |
| 2009 | 3 |
| 2010 | 3 |
| 2011 | 1 |
| 2012 | 9 |
| 2013 | 13 |
| 2014 | 12 |
| 2015 | 17 |
| 2016 | 17 |
| 2017 | 37 |
| 2018 | 37 |
| 2019 | 51 |
| 2020 | 28 |
| 2021 | 35 |
| 2022 | 109 |
| 2023 | 139 |
| 2024 | 352 |
| 2025 | 251 |
| 2026 | 130 |
Institution Lens
Who Files the Most Alerts
Institution type, Clery classification, and incident resolution: three views of the same archive from different regulatory angles.
How to read this: This reflects which institutions and categories are represented in the archive so far; it over-represents some types (such as large universities) and under-represents others.
Institution Type
By Institution Type
- public r1473public r1473
- private r1194private r1194
- community college124community college124
- public masters100public masters100
- public r293public r293
- hbcu83hbcu83
- private liberal arts53private liberal arts53
- private r244private r244
- private masters29private masters29
- public bachelors16public bachelors16
- private bachelors15private bachelors15
- territory12territory12
- technical college6technical college6
- for profit5for profit5
- tribal college3tribal college3
- military2military2
What to notice: large publics are over-represented because their alert archives are public and indexed. Browse by institution to find the community colleges, HBCUs, and tribal colleges the archive actively balances toward.
| Institution | Cases |
|---|---|
| public r1 | 473 |
| private r1 | 194 |
| community college | 124 |
| public masters | 100 |
| public r2 | 93 |
| hbcu | 83 |
| private liberal arts | 53 |
| private r2 | 44 |
| private masters | 29 |
| public bachelors | 16 |
| private bachelors | 15 |
| territory | 12 |
| technical college | 6 |
| for profit | 5 |
| tribal college | 3 |
| military | 2 |
Clery Classification
By Clery Category
What to notice: timely warnings are a genre of their own, composed hours after a crime rather than seconds into one. See the timely-warning chapter.
| Label | Count |
|---|---|
| emergency notification | 822 |
| timely warning | 203 |
| advisory | 201 |
| missing student | 13 |
| test | 13 |
Outcome
By Resolution
What to notice: many cases documented here as active threats resolved as hoax or unfounded. Read the hoax and unfounded cases for the language of standing down.
| Label | Count |
|---|---|
| confirmed threat | 695 |
| unfounded | 152 |
| under investigation | 150 |
| confirmed hoax | 143 |
| false alarm | 21 |
| resolved | 20 |
| unknown | 17 |
| resolved safely | 5 |
| hoax | 4 |
| weather cleared | 4 |
| suspect apprehended | 3 |
| all clear | 3 |
| fatality | 2 |
| no impact confirmed | 2 |
| voluntary end | 2 |
| suspect not apprehended | 2 |
| suspect fled | 1 |
| suspect neutralized | 1 |
| warning expired no damage | 1 |
| suspects at large | 1 |
Leaders & Patterns
States & Institutions in Focus
Top states by documentation volume, and the 12 most-represented institutions in the archive.
How to read this: 'Top' and 'most' here mean most-documented in this archive, which tracks how findable and well-covered a place is as much as any real-world frequency.
State Volume
Top States by Case Count
- CA128CA128
- TX93TX93
- FL70FL70
- PA58PA58
- NY57NY57
- VA55VA55
- MA48MA48
- NC48NC48
- IL43IL43
- MI41MI41
- GA39GA39
- OH36OH36
- AZ28AZ28
- IN27IN27
- LA25LA25
What to notice: state volume tracks collection effort as much as risk. The institutions index shows exactly what is documented where.
| Institution | Cases |
|---|---|
| CA | 128 |
| TX | 93 |
| FL | 70 |
| PA | 58 |
| NY | 57 |
| VA | 55 |
| MA | 48 |
| NC | 48 |
| IL | 43 |
| MI | 41 |
| GA | 39 |
| OH | 36 |
| AZ | 28 |
| IN | 27 |
| LA | 25 |
Institution Volume
Most-Represented Institutions
- USC · CA13USC13
- Cornell · NY12Cornell12
- Iowa · IA12Iowa12
- MSU · MI12MSU12
- UF · FL12UF12
- CU Boulder · CO11CU Boulder11
- UNM · NM10UNM10
- IU · IN10IU10
- U-M · MI10U-M10
- Harvard · MA9Harvard9
- Temple · PA9Temple9
- BU · MA9BU9
What to notice: repeat appearances usually mean a well-indexed public alert archive, exactly the sources that make word-for-word recovery possible.
| Institution | State | Cases |
|---|---|---|
| USC | CA | 13 |
| Cornell | NY | 12 |
| Iowa | IA | 12 |
| MSU | MI | 12 |
| UF | FL | 12 |
| CU Boulder | CO | 11 |
| UNM | NM | 10 |
| IU | IN | 10 |
| U-M | MI | 10 |
| Harvard | MA | 9 |
| Temple | PA | 9 |
| BU | MA | 9 |
Long-Range View
The archive over time
Documented cases span decades. Coverage is densest for recent years, where alert text is easiest to recover.
How to read this: This reflects how findable and well-documented incidents are by era, not real-world frequency.
Long-Range View
Cases by Decade
What to notice: coverage thins before the SMS era. The chapter narratives trace how alert language evolved decade by decade.
| Label | Count |
|---|---|
| 1960s | 1 |
| 1970s | 1 |
| 1990s | 1 |
| 2000s | 8 |
| 2010s | 197 |
| 2020s | 1,044 |
Archive Authenticity
Verbatim Recovery Over Time
Each column is the total alert messages for that incident year, split into verbatim-confirmed (exact transmitted text) and reconstructed (paraphrased from secondary coverage).
How to read this: This tracks our own progress recovering exact alert wording; it is a measure of the archive itself, not a claim about campus alerts in general.
Authenticity Trend
Verbatim Recovery by Year
What to notice: word-for-word recovery is this archive's core work. Browse every verbatim-confirmed case to read the exact transmitted text.
- 2011: 5 of 5 alert messages verbatim-confirmed (100%).
- 2012: 16 of 26 alert messages verbatim-confirmed (62%).
- 2013: 29 of 47 alert messages verbatim-confirmed (62%).
- 2014: 24 of 34 alert messages verbatim-confirmed (71%).
- 2015: 43 of 56 alert messages verbatim-confirmed (77%).
- 2016: 31 of 43 alert messages verbatim-confirmed (72%).
- 2017: 134 of 162 alert messages verbatim-confirmed (83%).
- 2018: 98 of 118 alert messages verbatim-confirmed (83%).
- 2019: 95 of 112 alert messages verbatim-confirmed (85%).
- 2020: 62 of 82 alert messages verbatim-confirmed (76%).
- 2021: 83 of 103 alert messages verbatim-confirmed (81%).
- 2022: 222 of 270 alert messages verbatim-confirmed (82%).
- 2023: 283 of 341 alert messages verbatim-confirmed (83%).
- 2024: 766 of 884 alert messages verbatim-confirmed (87%).
- 2025: 513 of 621 alert messages verbatim-confirmed (83%).
- 2026: 256 of 315 alert messages verbatim-confirmed (81%).
The verbatim share climbs sharply in recent years as Twitter/X archive recovery and university alert-page indexing make exact wording recoverable. The 2018 inflection point tracks the widespread adoption of social-media alert channels.
Methodology Note
All figures derive from the live data/cases/ directory and recompute at build time. Verbatim confirmation requires a direct source URL; reconstructed alerts are clearly marked. Where a source documents the interval from incident to first alert, that timing is recorded on the case and included in exports; the Findings page reports the distribution of those documented intervals with its inclusion rule and limits stated, never as a sector-wide benchmark. The descriptive counts on this page are plain build-time aggregation; the cross-corpus interpretation on the Findings page is by Claude Fable 5, the model that owns the archive’s analytics layer.